Thursday , October 22 2020

Today’s Ratings and Market Movers 01/06/19

Messy old day that was!

Quite simply, I hate it raining after I have put my numbers together but, when you combine that will an error or two on my part, it makes it doubly annoying.

After I pinged out the message that I was binning Carlisle because of the ground having gone heavy and the number of non-runners coming through, Gary correctly advised me that the 1-40pm should not have been rated because we had a 3-y-o in there.

Needless to say, the figures were spot on and an 11/1 winner in the dutch was missed.

I had a conversation with Andy who advised me that, “We will keep them in as the L I page has already gone out and we know some members may have already done their bets.”

My reply to this was, “I’m not sure the reason some might have already bet is a good reason to keep them in? I’m certainly not! If I’d sent out a map indicating where the mines were on a minefield and then found out it was obsolete, you ain’t gonna find me using that map just because someone else might have already tried crossing it! They might still get across but I’m going around it!”

So, those that had played using that “map” did get across safe and sound, punted a very nice 11/1 winner in the dutch and I took the long route and got nowt.

The screenshot told a tale!

So yep, a mess.

Doncaster is a track we either do well at, or we bomb out….it was the latter last night and I produce figures for that place through gritted teeth. The winning race there last night though contained a Market Mover that was already in the dutch and that’s another thing I’m monitoring.

We are going to have a good few stats to work with from October, that’s for sure.

I got the Morning Market Movers up and again, they produced winners….Epsom in particular proving very accurate with regards “movers”

EPSOM

2-00 – PINATUBO – 11/8 > 6/5 – WON EVENS
5-15 – HAPPY POWER – 15/2 > 5/1 – NR
5-50 – CORAZON ESPINADO – 6/1 > 9/2 – WON 7/1
5-50 – ALEMARATALYOUM – 25/1 > 12/1 – 4TH 14/1

DONCASTER

6-00 – PREVENT – 9/1 > 6/1
6-00 – BOMBASTIC – 18/1 > 9/1
6-30 – DOUBLE HONOUR – 11/4 > 13/8 – 2ND 9/4
7-00 – PRODUCTION – 12/1 > 7/1
7-00 – BABY STEPS – 25/1 > 14/1
7-30 – WHINMOOR – 14/1 > 6/1
8-00 – BRIAN THE SNAIL – 10/3 > 7/4 – WON 5/4
8-00 – SIGNORE PICCOLO – 14/1 > 10/1
9-00 – ROBERT FITZROY – 10/1 > 6/1 – 4TH 3/1F
9-00 – DARWIN DREAM – 66/1 > 25/1

That Epsom 5-50pm was pretty darned good, the two Morning Market Movers finishing 1st and 4th, with my top two rated horses coming home second and third…..less than a length separating the four of them.

I was gutted for our PICK5 competition winner though. The e.w. double I placed several weeks ago, that was offered up as he prize, came so close to landing the first leg….

PINK DOGWOOD got done a neck but I’m again questioning Ryan Moore’s ability to ride Epsom. He is a brilliant jockey but this place is his blindspot right enough.

In the last five years he has ridden 62 horses there….just five winners. Frankie Dettori, by comparison, has ridden 38 horses there in that same time span and ridden 10 winners.

I therefore see his booking to ride NAYEF ROAD today as a huge negative….and other punters are too….the overnight money has been for Johnston’s other runner, THE TRADER, ridden by de Sousa….top jockey at the track, 34 winners from 127 rides in those five years.

I’m afraid I cannot back horse there ridden by Moore purely and simply because of his track stats.

The Derby today but for me personally it’s not a betting race. I cannot bring myself to get involved in races that have 13 runners, seven of which come from one yard. Farcical…all very “Gigginstown”….I take no note at all of jockey booking made by Coolmore and I sincerely hope BANGKOK spoils the party.

Today you have tons of racing to work with but, when the evening racing is taking place, I’ll be sitting here with family, tucking into a curry, getting ready for the Champions League final….cup finals (so far), have been as much a blind spot for Klopp, as Epsom is for Ryan Moore….so ?he breaks that hoodoo.

I’m already thinking I’ll not be betting at Hexham or Musselburgh today. You will see from the lack of * icons that very few racing at either of those tracks has winning form on the ground they’ll face….but the potential is for it too dry out so Ill hang fire on making that decision until I’ve seen for myself how it is riding.

Stratford on the other hand, looks great! Every horse I have worked on there has winning form on what they tell us they have….be a good night out if you are going!

I’ll again be putting up the Morning Market Movers on the home page of the website by 11-30am….be sure to check them out.

Have a great day!

Kindest regards

Ron

MARKET MOVERS
EPSOM2-00 – THE TRADER – 7/1 > 5/1
5-15 – SOTO SIZZLER – 4/1 > 3/1
5-50 – SPANISH CITY – 11/2 > 4/1

MUSSELBURGH

2-50 – BATTLE OF WATERLOO – 14/1 > 6/1
2-50 – REEVES – 11/2 > 4/1
5-30 – ROYAL COSMIC – 3/1 > 9/4

DONCASTER

1-20 – BIG TIME DANCER – 5/1 > 7/2
3-40 – WEST END CHARMER – 7/2 > 11/4

WORCESTER

5-35 – LATE AGAIN – 6/4 > 5/4

STRATFORD

6-00 – RUTHLESS ARTICLE – 11/4 > 7/4
6-30 – CUT THE CORNER – 20/1 > 10/1
7-00 – CULTIVATOR – 10/1 > 7/1
8-00 – TOO MUCH TO ASK – 3/1 > 5/2
8-00 – EOUIAN – 11/4 > 4/1
8-30 – KELTUS – 6/1 > 5/1

LINGFIELD

8-15 – VOLTAIC – 13/8 > 5/4

TODAY’S RATINGS AND ADVICE

MARKET MOVERS IN RATED RACES HIGHLIGHTED

EPSOM 5-15 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

MAZZURI….+9
* – GENETICS….+5
* – EDDYSTONE ROCK….+3
T – FIRE FIGHTING….+2
* – SOTO SIZZLER….-7
* – BYRON FLYER….-11
* – SEXTANT….-14
T* – GRANDEE….-15
T – AQUARIUM….-22
* – BREATH CAUGHT….-23
* – KYLLACHY GALA….-38

NOTES:

EPSOM 5-50 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – L-H/M

SPANISH CITY (BF)….+12
T* – LAKE VOLTA….+9
§* – SQUATS….+8
T* – GABRIAL THE DEVIL….+8
T§* – BEYOND EQUAL….+8
T§* – REPUTATION….+8
* – HELVETIAN….+8
T§* – WATCHABLE….+8
STONE OF DESTINY….-1
* – TAWNY PORT….-4
T* – AREEN HEART….-17
ASHPAN SAM….-23
H§ – HARROGATE….-24
T – MANSHOOD….-28
MOUNTAIN PEAK….-32

NOTES:

MUSSELBURGH 2-15 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

T – BE KOOL….-4
T – FURZIG….-5
ROSE TINTED SPIRIT….-22
T – MONT KINABALU….-31
T* – MULLIGATAWNY….-40
FIRST FLIGHT….-40
T – SWIFT EMPEROR….-40

NOTES:

MUSSELBURGH 4-55 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

T* – HAWAAM….+9
* – REQUINTO DAWN….+5
T – FAIRY FALCON….-14
LANDING NIGHT….-26
T – MAKANAH (BF)….-40
PRIMO’S COMET….-40
T – ROBOT BOY….-40
T – SECRETINTHEPARK….-40

NOTES:

HEXHAM 3-15 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

APACHE PILOT….+8
CLASSICAL MILANO….±0
MORNING ROYALTY….-3
SOLID STRIKE….-9
* – DUN FAW GOOD….-22
KINGS ECLIPSE….-40

NOTES:

HEXHAM 3-50 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

T – DOLLYS DESTINATION….+14
JACK LAMB….-12
* – TICKENWOLF….-13
NATIVE FIGHTER….-18
T – KHUDHA….-18
REAL ARMANI….-21
T – OSCAR NOMINATION….-35
DR HOOVES….-39
CHAMPAGNE TO GO….-40
MONDLICHT….-40
W2T – VICTORIA SAYS….-40

NOTES:

WORCESTER 1-45 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

* – RONAVA….+10
* – LORD BALLIM….+8
* – BESTWORK….-1
* – SHOAL BAY (BF)….-9
* – LITTLE WINDMILL….-10
* – FINGERONTHESWITCH….-11
* – SPORTING BOY….-18
* – THOMAS BLOSSOM….-39
T – ALTO ESQUA….-40

NOTES:

WORCESTER 4-05 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

* – SETTIMO MILANESE….+12
* – ROLLING MAUL….+10
* – THEATREBAR….+10
* – KINGS RYDE….+9
SOLIGHOSTER….-24
W2 – FAIRMOUNT….-37
MERE ANARCHY….-40
GROUNDUNDERREPAIR….-40

NOTES:

WORCESTER 5-00 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

* – PROPHETS PRYAER….+10
* – GET AN OSCAR….+9
COILLTE EILE….+8
* – OUTRAGEOUS ROMANA….-1
* – OUR ROCKSTAR….-6
* – GLANVILLES GUEST….-14
T – LEGEND LADY….-19
WASDELL….-40
PETRONELLA MANNERS….-40

NOTES:

STRATFORD 6-30 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

T* – LORD BRYAN….+13
* – BLAIRS COVE….+11
* – KING CNUT….+11
* – WESTERN MILLER….+10
* – CUT THE CORNER….+10
* – WOLFCATCHER….-13
* – MURRAY MOUNT….-24

NOTES:

STRATFORD 7-00 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

* – ESPOIR DE TEILLEE….+9
* – CONSTANCIO….+8
* – CUBSWIN….-5
* – CULTIVATOR….-7
* – RED HOT CHILLY….-12
* – MISTER FIZZ….-31

NOTES:

STRATFORD 7-30 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

* – MCGROARTY….+13
T* – WELLS DE LUNE….+12
* – DANDRIDGE….+9
* – VALSEUR DU GRANVAL….+9
* – CHAMPAGNE AT TARA….-11
T* – DOUBLE W’S….-22

NOTES:

STARTFORD 8-30 – 

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

* – MR MAFIA….+12
T* – SOURIYAN….+12
* – MERCERS COURT….+12
* – ZAMPARELLI (BF)….+11
* – KELTUS….-11
T* – GARDINERS HILL….-22

NOTES:

About Ron.Robinson

Ron.Robinson

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