Saturday , October 24 2020

Today’s Ratings and Market Movers 03/07/19

So, it is true…..less is more!

The screenshot yesterday most certainly proves that to be true!

What I’m going to today is create an additional section below. This will contain rated races of 11 or more runners.

The purpose of this is, it will enable you to see where Market Movers and bottom rated favourites still apply. It will also enable you to see when….and if….one of those races potentially becomes “PLAYABLE”….by that I mean, if such a race were to see non-runners, that turn that race in one consisting of 10 or fewer runners, then you may wish to set up a dutch using the rules as are currently in place.

Yesterday the guys at AG looked at everything I had sent out and posted on the Forum. They extrapolated their plays using all the information they have to hand based on their stats analysis, and came up with the following plays, which were posted on their LI page.

The profits made yesterday, from this new way of working, were superb:

And this was the information available on their LI page from yesterday morning:

So, using the information contained in my morning Newsletter and from those races I posted up on the Forum, they were the plays AG created.

Those plays created the profit you see in the screenshot.

If you look at that last race, the Stratford 7-45pm. It is the top result on the screenshot and shows two plays, 20/80 DU DESTIN, and another on DOVILS DATE.

This was one of their of Rated races that consisted of more than 10 runners (it was actually 12 when the race was finalised at my end). One was withdrawn, leaving 11 runners at the time AG created their LI page so, they added a note indicating that if another came out then the play would be a dutch 4 including the Market Mover/Bottom Rated Favourite (MM/BRF).

In the event we had no further non-runners, 11 raced and so just the 2 x 20/80’s were created, which saw the BRF win, which in turn produced a profit on the race.

The screenshot contains just the last few races of each day, as you can appreciate but the earlier results enabled them to accumulate plenty of profit prior to those races you do see in the screenshot.

For instance, race 1

2-00 Brighton: MM 20/80 TO 4 PLACES.

That horse was named in my morning Newsletter as HEDGING. It won at 7/2

Race 2 was the Hamilton 2-45 and here I had advised of three Market Movers  and when that scenario occurs, a dutch should be created as opposed to 3 x 20/80 singles.

The three horses in that instance were:

2-45 – BRUTALAB – 6/1 > 9/2
2-45 – FITZY – 13/2 > 9/2
2-45 – BLACKSTONE CLIFF – 10/1 > 11/2

Here success was achieved by virtue of BLACKSTONE CLIFF winning.

As you know, 3-y-o’s are seriously difficult to produce an accurate rating for so, referring back to the work Riz at AG produced a few days ago:

Using that analysis has enabled us to see that if we work with the market here, as opposed to Ratings (which, as I’ve said, cannot truly be applied to 3-y-o’s), then you can produce e a solo play (20/80).

They did this in that Chepstow 6-00pm. If you refer back to the screenshot of the Profit/Loss page, you can see 2 x 20/80’s were created, one of which produced a profit.

That race was actually won by another 3-y-o that opened at 7/1 on course, was punted in to 11/2 before drifting back out to 8/1….and so just missed that 7/1 “cut”

I cannot explain just how much work is currently being done at Post Racing and Astech Gold, to make sure those subscribed make a more than decent profit from their betting.

This winter I will be introducing another angle into profit.

?THE CLOVER CLUB?

I have been in discussions with my accountant and legal bloke regarding something I wish to do for all those involved in The Clover Club and have been advised that I can do it.

By the end of this month I’ll be producing something for you to read that will explain how those involved will, at the end of the four year term the Clover Club will run for, benefit financially from Fantasy Horse Racing.

I’m sure, once you have read it you’ll thinking that, most definitely, you’ll be in Clover.

TODAY

Everything below….if you require clarification of anything at all, please do not hesitate in getting back to me.

For those new members that have come upon board in the last week, you have joined at a time we are looking to enhance the profitability of my work and that might lead to some head scratching.

You will find both myself and Andy at Astech Gold more than happy to go through absolutely everything with you, until you “get it”….and you will. As I’ve been saying to one new member, once you do have it in your mind, this is just like falling off a log and you will be doing this in your sleep….well, ish.

Best of luck!

Have a great day!

Kindest regards

Ron

THIRSK

3-40 – ROUND THE ISLAND – 9/1 > 9/2
4-10 – ROYAL WELCOME – 4/1 > 2/1
4-40 – MUSCIKA – 7/1 > 9/2
5-10 – GRAND INQUISITOR – 13/8 > 5/4
5-40 – INNER CIRCLE – 13/2 > 5/1

MUSSELBURGH

2-00 – AMAZING ALBA – 12/1 > 7/1
5-00 – DESERT ACE – 11/2 > 4/1

BATH

7-40 – LISTEN TO THE WIND – 11/10 > 8/11

WORCESTER

NONE

TODAY’S RATINGS AND ADVICE

MARKET MOVERS IN RATED RACES HIGHLIGHTED

MUSSELBURGH 3-30 – 7f  (7f33y) ROA Rewards Members Handicap  (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-90)

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

T* – TRIBAL WARRIOR….+16
* – JACOB BLACK….+11
T* – PEPYS….+9
* – RASELASAD….+8
* – GLENGARRY….+1
T* – HOW BIZARRE….-12
T* – PARYS MOUNTAIN….-20
* – TOMMY G (BF)….-23

NOTES:

THIRSK 4-40 – 6f  Sri Lanka Staying Strong Handicap  (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

* – THE ARMED MAN….+12
MUSCIKA….±0
MOON TROUBLE….-16
* – PIPERS NOTE….-23
DARK DEFENDER….-25
ROYAL PROSPECT….-25
PENNSYLVANIA DUTCH….-29
T – GRACIOUS JOHN….-38
WENTWORTH FALLS….-40

NOTES:

TODAY’S RATED RACES OF 11 OR MORE RUNNERS

MARKET MOVERS IN RATED RACES HIGHLIGHTED

Below are those rated races that currently consist of 11 runners or more.

You should consider playing Market Movers and Bottom Rated Favourites in such races.

If a race consisting of more than 10 runners should become a race of 10 or less on account of non-runners, consider playing in exactly the same way you would for those Rated races above.

THIRSK 5-40 – 7f  Support Sri Lanka Handicap  (Class 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

PRECEIVED DRAW BIAS – H-M-L

* – THORNABY NASH….+13
§* – HITMAN….+10
MM§ – INNER CIRCLE….+6
§* – SHAMAHEART….±0
* – OUR CHARLIE BROWN….-2
* – KENTUCKYCONNECTION….-5
3 – ZEBZARDEE….-5
* – EXPLAIN….-8
* – GROUPIE….-12
* – DANDY HIGHWAYMAN….-18
I KNOW HOW….-27
T§ – ATLETICO….-28
§ – FARD….-31
MUDAWAN….-34

NOTES: We have a Market Mover in here and you should consider a 20/80.

14 currently stand their ground and in the unlikely event four are pulled out, you would only then consider a dutch.

We have a 3-y-o currently trading around 14/1 and you should monitor the market regarding that horse.

WORCESTER 2-50 – 2m7f  Kingswood Cup Handicap Chase  (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-120)

PRECEIVED DRAW BIAS – N/A

T* – BORDER BREAKER….+24
* – MIDNIGHT JADE….+16
* – VENDREDI TROIS….+11
DELGANY DEMON….+6
* – SHOAL BAY….±0
W2H* – KINGS TEMPTATION….-2
W* – WILBERDRAGON….-2
OUT FOR JUSTICE….-24
* – BRAMBLE BROOK….-25
* – EMPRESSARIO….-31
SHANTY TOWN….-40
OLD PRIDE….-40

NOTES: Currently 12 set to race. Should two or more be declared non-runners, this race becomes a race ripe for dutching.

About Ron.Robinson

Ron.Robinson

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