Saturday , October 31 2020

Catching my eye 17/09/19

One of that pair catching my eye at Brighton yesterday obliged @ 11/4 but it was typical nasty Class 6 nonsense on the whole and we were best out of it.

Three meetings today at Redcar, Yarmouth and Chepstow. Poor quality stuff again with now fewer than 15 of the 21 races of Class 5 or Class 6 calibre. But I have a few you might like to consider for betting purposes.

Frankie goes to Yarmouth for one ride and we know he’s using himself sparingly these days, looking to only ride horses that have a chance. he is on EL MISK (Yarmouth 3-10). Looks a good opportunity for that horse and when Frankie and Gosden team up at this venue, they have a 56% strike rate.

At the same track you have to pay attention to anything Jamie Spencer sits on, especially when he rides for David Simcock. The trainer has a 24% strike rate here and he saddles two today:

TIGER CRUSADE (2-40)
UNIVERSAL ORDER (3-10)

Spencer rides both and they have a cracking good 36% strike rate when teaming up here….but that second one takes on EL MISK and so of the pair, its TIGER CRUSADE I’ll be looking at.

He has BUHTURI to beat but the market is already telling us that the Spencer/Simcock horse is the one to be with.

Nothing at Redcar looks like a bet at all….very ordinary stuff going on there and at Chepstow both BONNEVILLE (2-50) and ISOBAR WIND (3-20) look to have chances based on jockey bookings alone but the form of both leaves more than a little to be desired and I’ll just watch.

Yesterday we saw a right minty old Seller run at Thirsk and a horse that had been a Market Mover, VAN GERWEN 16/1 > 17/2 overnight, went off at 15/2 and finished 8th. Only beaten around five lengths his official mark will come down again and this was not lost on Paul Midgley, who picked the horse up for £6k

The ground was simply to quick for him yesterday two of his four wins to date coming on good to soft and soft….both at Pontefract, over five furlongs. They are his conditions/track and I suggest you put this horse in a tracker and when Midgley has him ready for a race at Ponte, on ground with juice in it. get stuck in.

Champions League football returns tonight and Liverpool have a right old banana skin away to Napoli. They lost there 1-0 last season (Liverpool lost all three away games in their Group stage), and this game will be completely different to those we’ve had already in the Premier League this season when we’ve been knocking over dustbins so far and it’s the second half we’ll need to be on our guard as Napoli have scored six times in the second half, in their last three domestic games (thanks, Tony!).

Tough game to kick off with and hopefully we can get out with a point, minimum.

Have a good day!

About Ron.Robinson

Ron.Robinson

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