Wednesday , October 21 2020

Catching my eye 21/09/19

A lovely 12/1 winner for this section yesterday and that’s the kind of thing I’m aiming for here. If you want to punt properly and make regular profits, then you need to be subscribed, have a betting bank, and be able to look “long term” when it comes to accumulating profit.

Most find that difficult, instead looking for a “quick fix”, like that winner yesterday. Pays for a beer.

The racing this afternoon is simply plain raving bonkers. I have rated 10 races for my subscribed members and I’d be as confident using them, as I would of winning the lottery later this evening.

I’m looking forward more to reading Tony Davidson’s piece later and hoping he pulls more rabbits from those hats.

On the racing front I’m thinking KUWAIT SHIELD (Catterick 2-25), is worth a 20/80 on handicap debut. He is slowly improving with racing and Barry McHugh rides this one for the first time. Fahey only puts him up on Catterick runners when they have a squeak….only four rides for Fahey here in the last five years and he’s won on two of them.

That would be my only “eye-catcher” today.

Looking at the Ary Gold Cup, this will be the first time the race has been run on anything better than heavy for the last four years. I can look at past data and provide some “scribblings” for you….line I wouldn’t touch a 3-y-o here with a barge pole as nine of the last 10 winners have been aged four, or older…..nothing older than five, in the last four years.

The market isn’t usually to far away with eight of the last 10 winners in the front six on the tissue so right now you’d be looking to:

BUFFER ZONE
GULLIVER
ARECIBO
HEY JONESY
SUMMERGHAND
INTISAAB

I like the bottom one of that list because he is 2-3 at this track.

Ideally you need to be arriving here off the back of a good run….nine of the last 10 winners had won or placed last time out so, from that list of six, the only runner I’d drop would be HEY JONESY.

Nine of the last 10 winners carried 9st or more so I’d lose INTISAAB there.

If you fancy backing the favourite 20/80, you’ll be pleased to know the “jolly” has won or placed in the first five on eight of the last 10 occasions so BUFFER ZONE looks “proper”.

David O’Meara trains four of those six fronting the market and he did train the winner in 2014 (we were on LOUIS THE PIOUS!!), and I feel he’ll get it right again this afternoon.

ARECIBO ticks some good boxes but again falls down on the weight range (8st 12lb), and my guts are saying his best chance lies with SUMMERGHAND.

I’ll be looking for a big run from that horse.

Best of luck today!

About Ron.Robinson

Ron.Robinson

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