I think we had a five minute spell yesterday when the rain was not falling. It seems that not only have I switched codes but Mother Nature has also chosen to prepare the ground for the jumpers.
This morning I got up usual time and found a message on the WhatsApp thingy, which indicated one member was a tad frustrated he’d not been able to find an ante-post for SHEWEARSITWELL. He had asked me earlier where he could find it and I sent him this image:
His additional frustration was caused by the fact he had been checking out the Mares Hurdle and not the Novice equivalent! My fault for not making that clear….apologies, Andy.
Another member had asked me for my thoughts on PRINCESS ZOE.
She is obviously a very good one but as I type, I’m not sure she has even faced a schooling hurdle, let alone jumped a proper in public. She is owned by a guy that loves NH racing and had the runner up in the 1987 Triumph Hurdle.
You would have to be a madman in this day and age to put a mare with Group 1 winning flat form in the book, anywhere near a hurdle. She also seems to have a need for juice in the ground and all things considered, right now I’d not be worried about such a horse….if she comes out, wins by 20 lengths on decent ground, and looks a machine, then I’ll consider her, but not right now.
What I’ve been doing these last few days is what I always do at this time of year. I’ve been going through my notes regarding the sales in France and Ireland and ringing those I feel should be given a mention in dispatches at some point, before the season begins.
If you were around in 2017 I popped this into a Newsletter in October of that year:
He made debut, for Nicky Henderson, in January of this year and was expected to win, going off the 2/1 favourite but he came across one from the stable of Ben Pauling called YOUR DARLING, who beat the Henderson runner cosy by just over three lengths.
Two days after my birthday this year, Henderson then sent it for a race at Kempton, it went off long odds on, won easily and was then put away.
Meanwhile, the horse that beat her on debut had a complete reversal of fortune. YOUR DARLING went off 4/6 for a Warwick Bumper but was pulled up by Nico de Boinville and I’m assuming it was simply a ground issue. She was one of four in that Bumper failing to finish and they had 90 lengths between first and last.
When I was checking out that ante-post price for Andy last night, I thought I have a look at the Supreme Novice betting at the same time.
FLINTEUR SACRE is 12/1, YOUR DARLING is 33/1
Think back a few years now to when SPRINTER SCARE ran in that race. Couldn’t win it and didn’t (he was a chaser, had it written all over him), and being by Network, his full brother will be the same.
John Morris visited Ben Pauling when putting his book together. I’m not about to put in a Newsletter what John has been told….you’ll need to get a copy of his book, JUMPING PROSPECTS.
Very much looking forward to seeing both this season and I wonder what price FLINTEUR SACRE for the 2022 Arkle?
I have looked at the markets for some clues regarding today and you have a few OMM’s
- 3-30 – WOTS THE WIFI CODE
- 1-45 – WISE GLORY – 3/1 > 15/8
- 2-50 – AINSDALE – 5/1 > 10/3
- 3-50 – STARTER FOR TEN – 6/1 > 7/2
- 4-20 – THRILL SEEKER – 2/1 > 7/4
- 4-50 – INNER CIRCLE – 7/1 > 5/1
Tomorrow I’ll have figures for Ludlow and Sedgefield…plenty of lovely jumping action to get stuck into and we’ll see if the figures are ripe enough to eat….they certainly have been on the money thus far.
Have a great day