THE WORKS FOR MEMBERS – 24/04/24

by | Apr 24, 2024

Thanks for looking in. To make best use of the information please make sure you check back around 11-30am as by that time I will have highlighted and colour-coded the OMMS and Rated races, with Scribblings attached to each rated race.

TODAY’S TURF RATINGS

WHAT THE ICONS MEAN….

(X%) NEXT A HORSE’S RATING = TRAINERS RTF %AGE FIGURE (HORSES RUNNING TO FORM)
☠️ = IRISH HORSE RUNNING IN A HANDICAP
✳️ = WINNER ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED
3️⃣ = INDICATES A 3-Y-O IN AN ALL AGED HANDICAP
§ = INDICATES BEST DRAWN RUNNERS
W1, W2 = RUNNING 1ST TIME / 2ND TIME FOLLOWING A WIND-OP
T = TRAVELLED A 300 MILE OR MORE ROUND TRIP TO RACE
H = INDICATES FIRST TIME HEADGEAR
(BF) – INDICATES BEATEN FAVOURITE LAST TIME OUT
❓ = IMPOSSIBLE TO RATE ACCURATELY AS UNEXPOSED OVER HURDLES/FENCES

COLOUR CODING

ORANGE = MOVER (OMM)
PURPLE = STRONG OMM
RED = VERY STRONG OMM
(F) = FLUCTUATING
(D) = DRIFTER
(S) = SOLID ON THE TISSUE
GREY = NR

🏇 CATTERICK 4-17

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 2 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – LITTLE MUDDY….-22 (50%) – 10/3 > 5/1
  • HAPPIER….-32 (8%) – 12/1 > 9/1
  • ✳️ T – TYGER BAY….-35 (100%) – 3/1 > 9/2 > 7/2
  • ✳️ T – ALAFDHAL….-35 (42%) – 2/1 > 6/5 > 15/8
  • ORIGINTRAIL….-40 (60%) – 4/1 > 9/2
  • TICKETS….-40 (60%) – 14/1 > 8/1 > 10/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

NOTHING AT ALL IS FANCIED HERE AND WITH A TOP RATED HAVING A FIGURE OF -22, I CAN FULLY UNDERSTAND WHY. A MEMBER RECENTLY SUGGESTED I INCREASE MY MINIMUM FIELD SIZE TO EIGHT FOR RATINGS PURPOSES. THIS VERY MUCH PROVES HE MAY HAVE A VALID POINT. A NOT BET RACE FOR ME EVEN IN PEAK SEASON.

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

🏇 CATTERICK 4-50

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 8 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – H-M-L

  • ✳️ § – MR STRUTTER….+18 (40%) – 10/1 > 18/1
  • ✳️ – BEAUTY CHOICE….+9 (36%) – 9/2 > 10/3
  • ✳️ – MUTASANEQ….+8 (32%) – 6/1 > 13/2
  • ✳️ – OBEE JO….-4 (8%) – 11/1 > 33/1
  • GREY FORCE ONE….-7 (47%) – 20/1 > 22/1
  • BUCKSHAW VILLAGE….-13 (35%) – 6/1 > 9/2 > 8/1
  • ✳️ – CODE PURPLE….-17 (60%) – 10/1 > 12/1 >11/1
  • § W – RED MIRAGE….-26 (40%) – 7/2 > 9/4
  • § – MANIGORDO….-26 (33%) – 16/1 > 25/1
  • SUNNY ORANGE….-28 (8%) – 16/1 > 22/1
  • H – WRECK IT RYLEY….-40 (50%) – 11/2 > 8/1
  • § – WITHOUT DELAY….-40 (17%) – 14/1 > 20/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE PLUS RED MIRAGE

SCRIBBLINGS

RED MIRAGE, WHO ARRIVES FIRST TIME FOLLOWING A WIND-OP, HAS BEEN ALL THE RAGE THIS MORNING. BEAUTY CHOICE HAS ALSO SEEN PLENTY OF SUPPORT AND IF THE MARKET IS TO BE BELIEVED THEN ONE OF THEM WINS. 

RED MIRAGE HAS NOT RUN IN CLASS 5 SINCE 2021 AND HIS RECORD AT THIS LEVEL IS 2-2….AND IN MAY 2022 HE WON A CLASS 2 FOR ANDREW BALDING AROUND CHESTER SO, HE SHOULD FIND THIS GREYHOUND TRACK A DODDLE. 

I’D BE HAPPY DUTCHING THE TWO IN ORANGE BUT RED MIRAGE ALSO HAS A BLINDER OF A DRAW TO WORK FROM….AND BEUATY CHOICE IS RIGHT ALONGSIDE HIM….THIS ALL MAKES A CLASS 5 WORTH WATCHING!

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

OMMS (TURF/ALL WEATHER)

COLOUR CODING

ORANGE = NEW MOVER (MMM)
🔥 PURPLE = STRONG OMM
🔥 🔥 RED = VERY STRONG OMM
PLUM = FLUCTUATING
GREY = NR
RTF%AGE IN BOLD, IN BRACKETS
(EMM) = EARLY MARKET MOVER (BEFORE 9-00PM DAY BEFORE RACING)
(OMM) = OVERNIGHT MARKET MOVER
(MMM) = MORNING MARKET MOVER
(AMM) = AFTERNOON MARKET MOVER

ICONS:

(OI) = IN OF INTEREST SECTION
(BF) = IN BEATEN FAVOURITES SECTION
(W, W2) = IN WIND OPS SECTIONS
(H) = RUNS IN FIRST TIME HEADGEAR

* HORSES NO LONGER BOLD INDICATE NON-RUNNERS HAVE CAUSED MARKET FLUCTUATIONS.

CATTERICK

  • (OMM) 2-12 – DR RIO – 14/1 > 7/1
  • (OMM) 2-12 – MURBIH – 16/1 > 8/1
  • (OMM) 2-47 – THEA BELL – 50/1 > 12/1 > 16/1
  • (MMM) 2-47 – NORTHERNER – 10/3 > 9/4
  • 🔥 (OMM) 3-17 – VINCE L’AMOUR – 11/8 > 11/10 > 10/11
  • 🔥 (OMM) 3-47 – HICCUPS – 28/1 > 16/1 > 11/1 (H)
  • (OMM) 4-17 – TICKETS – 14/1 > 8/1 > 10/1
  • (MMM) 4-50 – RED MIRAGE – 7/2 > 9/4 (W)
  • (MMM) 4-50 – BEAUTY CHOICE – 9/2 > 10/3
  • (MMM) 5-25 – JESMOND DAWN – 4/1 > 13/8

Podcast 05/04/24

Bob Champion says….

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