THE WORKS – DAILY ACCESS – 27/04/24

by | Apr 26, 2024

Thanks for looking in. To make best use of the information please make sure you check back around 11-30am as by that time I will have highlighted and colour-coded the OMMS and Rated races, with Scribblings attached to each rated race.

TODAY’S TURF RATINGS

WHAT THE ICONS MEAN….

(X%) NEXT A HORSE’S RATING = TRAINERS RTF %AGE FIGURE (HORSES RUNNING TO FORM)
☠️ = IRISH HORSE RUNNING IN A HANDICAP
✳️ = WINNER ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED
3️⃣ = INDICATES A 3-Y-O IN AN ALL AGED HANDICAP
§ = INDICATES BEST DRAWN RUNNERS
W1, W2 = RUNNING 1ST TIME / 2ND TIME FOLLOWING A WIND-OP
T = TRAVELLED A 300 MILE OR MORE ROUND TRIP TO RACE
H = INDICATES FIRST TIME HEADGEAR
(BF) – INDICATES BEATEN FAVOURITE LAST TIME OUT
❓ = IMPOSSIBLE TO RATE ACCURATELY AS UNEXPOSED OVER HURDLES/FENCES

COLOUR CODING

ORANGE = MOVER (OMM)
PURPLE = STRONG OMM
RED = VERY STRONG OMM
(F) = FLUCTUATING
(D) = DRIFTER
(S) = SOLID ON THE TISSUE
GREY = NR

🏇 LEICESTER 2-05

CLASS 2

HISTORY – 1 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – DASHING ROGER….+17 (20%) – 10/1 > 15/2 > 10/1
  • ✳️ – AL MUBHIR….+13 (35%) – 2/1 > 11/4
  • ✳️ ❓ – MISS CANTIC….+9 (61%) – 12/1 > 14/1 > 12/1
  • ✳️ – RAODOBARG….+1 (52%) – 9/2 > 4/1 > 5/1
  • ✳️ – BIG BEAR HUG….-5 (50%) – 16/1 > 20/1
  • ✳️ – MAGIC MEMORIES….-22 (41%) – 8/1 > 6/1
  • ✳️ – LOOK BACK SMILING….-24 (38%) – 8/1 > 13/2 > 8/1
  • ✳️ – SELWAN….-25 (52%) – 33/1 > 66/1
  • ✳️ – THUNDER ROAR….-32 (33%) – 9/2 > 4/1 > 9/2

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE PLUS MAGIC MEMORIES

SCRIBBLINGS

NOTHING OVERLY FANCIED HERE. ONLY MAGIC MEMORIES HAS SEEN ANYTHING REMOTELY RESEMBLING SUPPORT AND THAT HAS NOW STALLED, ALTHOUGH THE HORSE IS SOLID ON THE TISSUE.

THE FAVOURITE, AL MUBHIR (LAST YEARS WINNER OF THIS RACE), IS WEAK, AND WITH IT BEING A “SIGHTER”, I’LL HAPPILY LEAVE IT BE FOR PUNTING PURPOSES.

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 LEICESTER 3-12 

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 0 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – WILLINGLY….-7 (38%) – 11/2 > 6/1 > 11/2
  • SO SMART….-12 (0%) – 13/2 > 9/2
  • HOLBACHE….-35 (33%) – 6/1 > 4/1
  • RECON MISSION….-35 (27%) – 8/1 > 5/1
  • DARLO PRIDE….-38 (100%) – 4/1 > 11/2
  • – BURABACK….-40 (29%) – 3/1 > 9/2
  • TOMMYTWOHOOTS….-40 (0%) – 5/1 > 8/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE PLUS RECON MISSION

SCRIBBLINGS

A VERY TIGHT MARKET, THE FAVOURITE 4/1, THE OUTSIDER 5/1 > 8/1….NOTHING OBTAINED A + RATING, MY TOP RATED IS THE ONLY HORSE IN HERE HAVING WON PREVIOUSLY ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED, AND HE’S FLUCTUATING, THE THREE BELOW THE ONLY HORSES FOR ANYTHING RESEMBLING MONEY. 

DUTCH THE ORANGE, OR GRAB A BREW…OR TRUST STAKE MANAGEMENT….🤷‍♂️

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 LEICESTER 3-45

CLASS 4

HISTORY – 10 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – BROKEN SPEAR….-14 (33%) – 11/2 > 7/2
  • LEAP ABROAD….-22 (70%) – 9/2 > 7/2
  • – DEAR DAPHNE….-24 (25%) – 10/1 > 20/1
  • ✳️ – MANY A STAR….-24 (64%) – 11/4 > 4/1
  • AL AMEEN….-29 (69%) – 9/2 > 6/1
  • 🔥 – TIRIAC….-40 (53%) – 11/2 > 11/4
  • HAZIYM….-40 (27%) – 18/1 > 25/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

THE WORLD AND HIS WIFE SEEMINGLY WANT TO GET ON TIRIAC THIS MORNING. MY TOP TWO ARE HOLDING UP WELL AGAINST THAT MONEY AND I’D DUTCH THE THREE FOR A 50% PROFIT.

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 HAYDOCK 2-10

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 3 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – L-H/M

  • 🔥 ✳️ T § – SACRED FALLS….+8 (50%) – 11/2 > 4/1 > 7/2
  • ✳️ – COLD STARE….+8 (56%) – 11/4 > 9/2
  • ✳️ § – HAVANA RUM….+4 (46%) – 12/1 > 16/1
  • ✳️ – LOCO LOBO….-4 (0%) – 25/1 > 50/1
  • ✳️ – PEACHY CARNEHAN….-9 (0%) – 25/1 > 50/1
  • ✳️ – HALLOWED TIME….-9 (57%) – 20/1 > 10/1
  • ✳️ T – HIATUS….-16 (33%) – 8/1 > 14/1 > 12/1
  • MIGHTY POWER….-21 (33%) – 9/1 > 12/1
  • § – HARRY’S HALO….-23 (46%) – 5/1 > 7/1 > 13/2
  • 🔥 § – TRILBY….-27 (33%) – 9/1 > 13/2 > 4/1
  • HEARTRATE….-36 (57%) – 12/1 > 16/1 > 14/1
  • NIGHTS OVER EGYPT….-39 (42%) – 6/1 > 11/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

THREE MOVERS, TWO “STANDOUTS”, MY TOP RATED AND TRILBY, WHICH HAS BEEN SMASHED UP THIS MORNING. 

WHEN I FIRST LOOKED AT THIS RACE SACRED FALLS AND TRILBY WERE THE TWO I EXPECTED TO BE SITTING HIGH UP ON THE NUMBERS….TRILBY LET ME DOWN IN THAT REGARD BUT THE PLAYERS ALSO GOT THE SAME “FEELING”….A DUTCH SACRED FALLS, HALLOWED TIME, TRILBY….THE TWO STRONG ONES ALSO HAVE A VERY GOOD DRAW TO WORK WITH!

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 HAYDOCK 2-45

CLASS 2

HISTORY – 10 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – LOOK BACK SMILING….+15 (38%) – NR
  • ✳️ T – TACARIB BAY….+9 (63%)
  • T – RAINBOW FIRE….+6 (68%)
  • ✳️ – SPARKS FLY….+3 (25%)
  • ✳️ – ROACH POWER….+1 (26%)
  • ✳️ – RHOSCOLYN….-3 (56%)
  • ✳️ – GWEEDORE….-7 (50%)
  • 🔥 ✳️ – ZIP….-20 (46%) – 14/1 > 10/1 > 9/1
  • ✳️ ☠️ T – EARLS….-24 (54%)
  • BOARDMAN….-29 (26%)

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

WHAT A COMPLETE FAFF!!

MY TOP RATED WAS DOUBLE ENTERED AND THEY ONLY DECIDED TO PULL IT OUT AT 9-30AM, FATER IT HAD BEEN A MOVER IN BOTH MARKETS. 

HERE IS WAS 16/1 > 8/1 AND “STRONG”….NOW THIS MARKET HAS THE HEEBIEJEEBIES, WE HAVE A PIRATE IN WAITING (SECOND FAVOURITE AS I TYPE), AND I’M JUST GOING TO WATCH NOW. 

THE TOP THREE AS THEY ARE NOW SHOULD GIVE YOU A RUN FOR YOUR DUTCH.

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 RIPON 5-15

CLASS 3

HISTORY – 10 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • 🔥 ✳️ – TITIAN….-4 (33%) – 10/1 > 9/2
  • HELTER SKELTER….-17 (42%) – 10/3 > 5/2 > 11/4
  • ✳️ – SPIRIODALTA….-28 (50%) – 9/2 > 7/1
  • DIAMONDONTHEHILL….-29 (16%) – 14/1 > 28/1 > 20/1
  • ✳️ T – REGHEEB….-31 (25%) – 9/2 > 9/1
  • T – HIROMICHI….-40 (53%) – 4/1 > 6/1
  • ANIMATE….-40 (100%) – 14/1 > 25/1
  • CLEAR ANGEL….-40 (60%) – 9/2 > 3/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE PLUS CLEAR ANGEL

SCRIBBLINGS

TOP TWO HAVE BEEN THE ONES FOR MONEY FROM EARLY DOORS AND MY BOTTOM RATED HAS NOW ALSO SEEN SUPPORT AND WHILST IT’S LOVELY SEEING MY TOP RATED GIVING ME HIGH FIVES, I’D STILL BE DUTCHING IN APRIL!

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 RIPON 5-50

CLASS 2

HISTORY – 2 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – WEN MOON….+14 (80%) – 3/1 > 5/2
  • ✳️ – MONSIEUR KODI….+9 (46%) – 7/1 > 15/2 > 7/1
  • ✳️ – TWELFTH KNIGHT….+9 (30%) – 14/1 > 25/1
  • ✳️ – HYPERFOCUS….+9 (26%) – 10/1 > 14/1
  • ✳️ – MR WAGYU….-21 (50%) – 12/1
  • LOOKING FOR LYNDA….-39 (63%) – 9/2 > 3/1
  • THE BELL CONDUCTOR….-40 (29%) – 7/1 > 14/1
  • VINTAGE CLARETS….-40 (46%) – 10/1 > 16/1
  • GLORIOUS ANGEL….-40 (35%) – 5/1 > 4/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE PLUS LOOKING FOR LYNDA

SCRIBBLINGS

TOP TWO PLUS LOOKING FOR LYNDA, IF MY FIGURES AND THE MARKET ARE CORRECT….REALLY LIKING THE RACING HERE TONIGHT!

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 RIPON 6-20

CLASS 2

HISTORY – 10 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – LEGENDARY DAY….+17 (33%) – 10/1 > 16/1
  • ✳️ – CHILLINGHAM….+12 (25%) – 11/4 > 7/4
  • ✳️ – GET SHIRTY….-2 (56%) – 10/1 > 18/1
  • KNIGHTSWOOD….-7 (42%) – 4/1 > 15/2
  • ✳️ T – SEA KING….-18 (67%) – 9/2 > 11/2 > 9/2
  • ✳️ T – GAASSEE….-21 (25%) – 9/2 > 13/2
  • ✳️ T – BANDERAS….-22 (43%) – 7/1 > 10/1
  • ❓ T W – CLAN CHIEFTAIN….-40 (36%) – 8/1 > 11/2

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE PLUS CLAN CHIEFTAIN

SCRIBBLINGS

CHILLINGHAM HAS BEEN “THE ONE” TODAY….IT IS NOW 9/2 BAR THAT HORSE, SEA KING FLUCTUATIING, CLAN CHIEFTAIN IS SUPPORTED AND FIRST RUN FOLLOWING A WIND OP, 480 MILE ROUND TRIP, ONLY FOUR PREVIOUS RUNS ON TURF….I GET IT. 

THREE HORSE DUTCH BUT I DO EXPECT THE FAVOURITE TO BE WINNING….IF ONLY BECAUSE “THEY” DO, TOO.

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

 

🏇 DONCASTER 6-40

CLASS 3

HISTORY – 1 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – L-M/H

  • ✳️ – GOOD EARTH….+21 )50%)
  • ✳️ – FANTASY MASTER….+12 (33%)
  • ✳️ § – DAKOTA GOLD….+10 (16%)
  • ✳️ – MAGICAL SPIRIT….+9 (38%)
  • ✳️ – RATHBONE….+9 (50%)
  • § – HOLY FIRE….+8 (64%) – NR
  • ✳️ § – ROUNDHAY PARK….+8 (54%)
  • ✳️ – ASCOT ADVENTURE….+7 (56%)
  • SNAZZY JAZZY….-4 (50%)
  • T – KATEY KONTENT….-11 (40%) – NR
  • § H – PRAIRIE FALCON….-13 (16%) – NR
  • T – ABLE KANE….-16 (31%)
  • § – LETHAL NYMPH….-18 (30%) – 14/1 > 8/1
  • STERLING KNIGHT….-26 (35%)
  • T – MUBHIJAH….-26 (57%)
  • § – HECTIC….-28 (20%)
  • OSO RAPIDO….-32 (20%)
  • IT JUST TAKES TIME….-34 (50%)
  • § – QUINTUS ARRIUS….-34 (0%)

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

THREE OUT, INCLUDING THE FAVOURITE & FOURTH FAVOURITE, AND THE MARKET IS PIFFLE NOW PLUS, I’D NEED TO RE-WRITE THIS RACE AND I DO NOT HAVE THAT TIME I’M AFRAID.

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

OMMS (TURF/ALL WEATHER)

COLOUR CODING

ORANGE = NEW MOVER (MMM)
🔥 PURPLE = STRONG OMM
🔥 🔥 RED = VERY STRONG OMM
PLUM = FLUCTUATING
GREY = NR
RTF%AGE IN BOLD, IN BRACKETS
(EMM) = EARLY MARKET MOVER (BEFORE 9-00PM DAY BEFORE RACING)
(OMM) = OVERNIGHT MARKET MOVER
(MMM) = MORNING MARKET MOVER
(AMM) = AFTERNOON MARKET MOVER

ICONS:

(OI) = IN OF INTEREST SECTION
(BF) = IN BEATEN FAVOURITES SECTION
(W, W2) = IN WIND OPS SECTIONS
(H) = RUNS IN FIRST TIME HEADGEAR

* HORSES NO LONGER BOLD INDICATE NON-RUNNERS HAVE CAUSED MARKET FLUCTUATIONS.

LEICESTER

  • NO EMMS
  • (MMM) 1-30 – POET’S PEACE – 11/1 > 11/2
  • (OMM) 2-05 – MAGIC MEMORIES – 8/1 > 6/1 (SOLID)
  • (MMM) 2-05 – LOOK BACK SMILING – 9/1 > 13/2
  • (MMM) 3-12 – SO SMART – 13/2 > 9/2
  • (MMM) 3-12 – RECON MISSION – 14/1 > 8/1
  • (MMM) 3-45 – LEAP ABROAD – 9/2 > 7/2 (BF)
  • (MMM) 3-45 – TIRIAC – 11/2 > 7/2 (BF)
  • (MMM) 4-20 – MACHO SUN – 6/1 > 9/2
  • (MMM) 4-55 – EY UP ITS JAZZ – 7/2 > 9/4 (BF)
  • (MMM) 4-55 – CUBANISTA – 10/1 > 13/2
  • (MMM) 4-55 – WE’RENOTREALLYHERE – 66/1 > 25/1 (H)

HAYDOCK

  • 🔥 (OMM) 2-10 – SACRED FALLS – 11/2 > 4/1 > 7/2
  • (MMM) 2-10 – TRILBY – 9/1 > 13/2 (BF)
  • (MMM) 2-10 – HALLOWED TIME – 20/1 > 10/1
  • 🔥 (EMM) 2-45 – RAINBOW FIRE – 16/1 > 7/1 > 6/1 > 4/1 (Pricewise)
  • 🔥 (EMM) 2-45 – TACARIB BAY – 12/1 > 8/1 > 5/1
  • (EMM) 2-45 – ZIP – 14/1 > 10/1 > 9/1 > 12/1
  • (OMM) 2-45 – LOOK BACK SMILING – 16/1 > 12/1 > 8/1 – NR
  • (MMM) 4-28 – NELLIE LEYLAX – 7/2 > 9/4
  • (MMM) 5-00 – AMANCIO – 4/1 > 2/1

RIPON

  • (MMM) 4-05 – ASSERTIVELY – 5/2 > 11/8
  • (MMM) 4-40 – SPIRIT OF ACKLAM – 5/6 > 4/7
  • (MMM) 5-15 – HELTER SKELTER – 10/3 > 5/2
  • (MMM) 5-15 – CLEAR ANGEL – 9/2 > 3/1
  • (MMM) 5-15 – TITIAN – 10/1 > 6/1
  • (MMM) 5-50 – LOOKING FOR LYNDA – 9/2 > 10/3
  • (MMM) 6-20 – CHILLINGHAM – 11/4 > 15/8
  • 🔥 (EMM) 6-50 – ZIMMERMAN – 7/1 > 4/1 > 10/3
  • (MMM) 7-20 – MR IRRELEVANT – 7/2 > 15/8
  • (MMM) 7-20 – LUAS – 13/2 > 3/1
  • NO OMMS

DONCASTER

  • (EMM) 5-05 – ABRAAJ – 9/2 > 3/1 > 10/3
  • (MMM) 5-40 – LOTUS ROSE – 9/1 > 4/1
  • (MMM) 5-40 – VIXEY – 9/1 > 11/2
  • (OMM) 6-40 – LETHAL NYMPH – 14/1 > 8/1
  • (OMM) 7-10 – SHAGPYLE – 13/2 > 4/1 > 5/1 > 9/2

Podcast 05/04/24

Bob Champion says….

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