THE WORKS – DAILY ACCESS – 10/06/24

by | Jun 10, 2024

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To make best use of the information please make sure you check back around 11-30am as by that time I will have highlighted and colour-coded the OMMS and Rated races, with Scribblings attached to each rated race.

TODAY’S TURF RATINGS

WHAT THE ICONS MEAN….

(X%) NEXT A HORSE’S RATING = TRAINERS RTF %AGE FIGURE (HORSES RUNNING TO FORM)
☠️ = IRISH HORSE RUNNING IN A HANDICAP
✳️ = WINNER ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED
3️⃣ = INDICATES A 3-Y-O IN AN ALL AGED HANDICAP
§ = INDICATES BEST DRAWN RUNNERS
W1, W2 = RUNNING 1ST TIME / 2ND TIME FOLLOWING A WIND-OP
T = TRAVELLED A 300 MILE OR MORE ROUND TRIP TO RACE
H = INDICATES FIRST TIME HEADGEAR
(BF) – INDICATES BEATEN FAVOURITE LAST TIME OUT
❓ = IMPOSSIBLE TO RATE ACCURATELY AS UNEXPOSED OVER HURDLES/FENCES

COLOUR CODING

ORANGE = MOVER (OMM)
PURPLE = STRONG OMM
RED = VERY STRONG OMM
(F) = FLUCTUATING
(D) = DRIFTER
(S) = SOLID ON THE TISSUE
GREY = NR

🏇 CARLISLE 4-20 

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 0 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – H-M-L

  • ✳️ – AHAMOMENT….+10 (47%)
  • ✳️ § – SHOWTIME MAHOMES….-10 (29%)
  • ✳️ § – VINCE LE PRINCE….+7 (42%)
  • ✳️ – JOHN KIRKUP….-5 (0%)
  • § – JKR COBBLER….-10 (39%)
  • WRECK IT RYLEY….-12 (80%)
  • STORM MASTER….-13 (0%)
  • § – RING OF GOLD….-19 (28%) – 9/1 > 7/1
  • DRAFTED….-37 (50%)
  • CONCERT BOY….-40 (64%) – 9/1 > 12/1
  • BLAZING SON….-40 (18%)

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

 

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

🏇 WINDSOR 7-40

CLASS 2

HISTORY – 1 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – H-M-L

  • ✳️ § – NAVELLO….+10 (59%)
  • ✳️ – ROCKING ENDS….+10 (50%)
  • ✳️ – ANTIPHON….+9 (20%)
  • § T – SQUEALER….+9 (50%)
  • ✳️ § – MOUNTAIN PEAK….+4 (50%)
  • ✳️ – THUNDER MOOR….-3 (59%)
  • ✳️ T – DUSKY LORD….-5 (25%)
  • ✳️ T – GOOD EARTH….-7 (55%)
  • WOOLHAMPTON….-11 (42%)
  • ISLE OF LISMORE….-15 (42%)

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

 

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

🏇 WINDSOR 8-40

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 1 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ – MREMBO….+9 (43%)
  • ✳️ ❓ – D DAY ARVALENREEVA….+8 (28%)
  • ✳️ T – CARP KID….-2 (17%)
  • MAJOR MAJOR….-13 (53%)
  • NAASMA….-15 (0%)
  • ✳️ – ON THE RIGHT TRACK….-24 (31%)
  • REBEL ANGEL….-26 (64%)
  • BLOOMWITHGRACE….-40 (22%)
  • BUXTED TOO….-40 (46%)
  • ❓ – CARBIS BAY….-40 (50%)
  • ❓ – VOIX DE BOCELLI….-40 (0%)

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

 

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

🏇 PONTEFRACT 7-30

CLASS 4

HISTORY – 5 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – NONE

  • ✳️ T – ESMERAY….+10 (49%) – 11/8 > 11/10
  • ✳️ – CHARGING THUNDER….+9 (49%) – 2/1 > 9/4 > 2/1
  • ✳️ – LA PULGA….-2 (42%) – 15/2 > 7/1 > 15/2
  • ✳️ – GINISTRELLI….-35 (40%) – 40/1
  • CABRAKAN….-40 (40%) – 16/1 > 25/1
  • T – ELEANOR CROSS….-40 (54%) – 5/1 > 7/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

 

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

🏇 PONTEFRACT 9-00

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 10 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – L-M/H

  • ✳️ – MILBANKE….+10 (33%) – 7/1 > 6/1 > 7/1
  • ✳️ – HAVANA RUM….+9 (55%) – 7/1 > 6/1 > 7/1
  • ✳️ – KING OF TONGA….+8 (50%) – 9/2 > 7/2 > 9/2
  • 3️⃣ § T – TRAVIS….+8 (59%) – 7/2 > 9/2
  • 3️⃣ ✳️ § – CATTON LADY….+8 (28%) – 4/1 > 7/1
  • ✳️ § – RAMBUSO CREEK….+8 (33%) – 5/1 > 7/1 > 9/2
  • BRAVEHEART BOY….-18 (42%) – 9/1 > 12/1
  • § – KALGANOV….-20 (46%) – 28/1 > 16/1
  • MOTAGALLY….-24 (50%) – 16/1 > 20/1
  • H – AMERICAN STAR….-29 (42%) – 16/1 > 20/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

I was half inclined to bin this race. Working with three year olds in all aged handicaps is not something I like doing until after Royal Ascot. They are impossible to produce an accurate figure for and the way resolve their participation is simply by applying a cut of market position of 7/1….and longer, they get binned.Here both “fit”…but are drifting so, we’ll see what the afternoon update brings.

DUTCH: RATED HORSES –
20/80:
EXOTICS:

OMMS (TURF/ALL WEATHER)

COLOUR CODING

ORANGE = NEW MOVER (MMM)
🔥 PURPLE = STRONG OMM
🔥 🔥 RED = VERY STRONG OMM
PLUM = FLUCTUATING
GREY = NR
RTF%AGE IN BOLD, IN BRACKETS
(EMM) = EARLY MARKET MOVER (BEFORE 9-00PM DAY BEFORE RACING)
(OMM) = OVERNIGHT MARKET MOVER
(MMM) = MORNING MARKET MOVER
(AMM) = AFTERNOON MARKET MOVER

* HORSES NO LONGER BOLD INDICATE NON-RUNNERS HAVE CAUSED MARKET FLUCTUATIONS.

CARLISLE

  • (EMM) 2-20 – KISS ME MY LOVE – 7/2 > 2/1 (SOLID)
  • (MMM) 2-20 – GRISELDA – 20/1 > 10/1
  • 🔥  🔥 (EEM) 2-50 – RAINBOW RAIN – 7/2 > 5/2 > 13/8
  • (EMM) 2-50 – POLAM LANE – 16/1 > 4/1 > 13/2
  • (EMM) 3-20 – WARMONGER – 10/3 > 15/8 (SOLID)
  • (MMM) 3-20 – MINSTREL KNIGHT – 10/3 > 11/8
  • (EMM) 3-50 – LEYHAIMUR – 28/1 > 8/1 > 10/1
  • (MMM) 3-50 – EXPENSIVE ROSE – 10/11 > 4/6
  • (MMM) 4-20 – RING OF GOLD – 9/1 > 5/1
  • (EMM) 4-55 – CAN’T STOP NOW – 14/1 > 10/1 (SOLID)
  • (MMM) 4-55 – HIGHWAYGREY – 6/1 > 7/2

LINGFIELD

  • (EMM) 2-00 – GODSEND – 15/8 > 6/5 > 7/4 > 11/8
  • (MMM) 2-00 – PUBLICITY – 3/1 > 9/4 (BF)
  • (MMM) 2-00 – NANCY P – 25/1 > 12/1
  • (MMM) 3-35 – FITZ PERFECTLY – 8/1 > 11/2
  • 🔥 (EMM) 3-35 – BEAUTIFUL CROWN – 20/1 > 9/1 > 9/2
  • (MMM) 3-35 – LANDLORDTOTHESTARS – 6/1 > 4/1
  • (EMM) 4-05 – PENELOPE VALENTINE – 9/1 > 4/1 > 5/1
  • (MMM) 4-05 – NALA STAR – 8/1 > 5/1
  • (MMM) 4-40 – ZARIELA – 4/1 > 11/4 (BF)
  • (MMM) 5-10 – LOCAL MUSIC – 3/1 > 7/4

WINDSOR

  • (MMM) 5-40 – BETWEENTHESTICKS – 7/2 > 11/4 (BF)
  • (MMM) 5-40 – ON EDGE – 7/1 > 4/1 > 9/2
  • 🔥 (MMM) 5-40 – CATCH CUNNINGHAM – 20/1 > 10/1 > 8/1
  • 🔥 (EMM) 6-10 – POUTING – 9/4 > 7/4 > 13/8 > 7/4
  • (EMM) 6-40 – DAARKOM – 3/1 > 9/4 > 9/2
  • 🔥(MMM) 6-40 – MIDAIR – 11/8 > 4/5 > 8/13 (BF)
  • (MMM) 7-10 – APPROVAL – 5/1 > 11/4 > 3/1
  • (EMM) 7-10 – HAZEM – 14/1 > 6/1
  • (MMM) 7-40 – WOOLHAMPTON – 6/1 > 4/1 > 5/1
  • (EMM) 7-40 – ROCKING ENDS – 7/2 > 9/4
  • (EMM) 7-40 – DUSKY LORD – 28/1 > 14/1
  • (MMM) 8-10 – CITY OF DELIGHT – 5/1 > 7/2
  • (MMM) 8-10 – PENALTY SHOOTOUT – 11/2 > 4/1 (BF)

PONTEFRACT

  • NO EMMS
  • (MMM) 6-30 – SPRING IS SPRUNG – 8/1 > 4/1
  • (MMM) 8-00 – SAM SARPHATI – 16/1 > 8/1
  • (MMM) 8-30 – SKILLED WARRIOR – 16/1 > 7/1
  • (MMM) 9-00 – KALGANOV – 28/1 > 16/1

Podcast 05/04/24

Bob Champion says….

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