Many moons ago I was up there with the very best of “mug punters”, getting my daily newspaper, looking to see what Piggott was riding, putting a Yankee bet on, and losing very, very regularly.

One day I read a story about a pro punter (I didn’t know they existed), who gave a few pointers as to how he went about things. After reading it I thought, “I can do that”.

I was a postman at the time, early starts, early finish, which gave me time to “practice”. I joined a horse racing forum and trialed my work on there, tweaking stuff and working out what was important, and what was fluff. I eventually landed on something that required me to use 11 sets of criteria for flat racing, and eight for NH racing.

I still use those very same criteria today to produce my Ratings.

Many seem to be scared of this, or are unaware of what it is exactly. Some have even said to me, “I’m not that desperate to back a winner!”. That puts a smile on my face!

This is not about betting winners….well, it is….it’s about betting for profit. I do not care which horse wins a race, I only care about it putting food on my table. 

I’ll run you through the process and then leave the ball firmly in your court. At the very end I give you an example of how a profit has been achieved today (Monday 27/11/23)

First, you need to be working on a PC as you will not have this option on a mobile device (at the time of writing!).

Head over to Betfair and call up the race you wish to play and click BACK ALL….image 1 below:

Once you have clicked BACK ALL you will see the first image, to the right of the racecard on Betfair. The second image indicates that we are looking to dutch the three horses at the top of the market, and those “circled” in red should be removed, clicking on the “x” to the left of their names.

Once you have the three selected in your frame, you then click on STAKE. A dialogue box will open directly below inviting you to input the total stake that you wish to spread across your three selections.

The stake should vary but I will cover that in another post. Let’s just say, for now, that you want to stake £10 per race. Enter 10 as illustrated, then click OK.

Once you click OK, you will then see that the Betfair calculator has determined the stake per horse, based on the price you had available for each horse, when you set up your shortlist of three.

The stake shown against each horse is how much of your £10 has to be placed on each horse, to achieve the same return should one of your three horses win.

That is the purpose of dutching….to make you a profit from your betting.

EXAMPLE (27/11/23)

Every day I provide my subscribed members with my own private handicap Ratings for all Handicaps I can produce accurate numbers for.

I then monitor the markets for several hours and highlight, via colour coding, exactly how to work a race using what I call Scribblings….today, 27/11/23, I had just three races Rated and colour coded.

🏇 KEMPTON 3-05

CLASS 3

HISTORY – 10 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

  • ✳️ H W2 – OUR JET….+10 (38%) – 11/4 > 3/1 – WON 11/4
  • ✳️ – AMOOLA GOLD….+8 (38%) – 7/1 > 11/1
  • ✳️ – MULLINAREE….-2 (36%) – 4/1 > 7/1
  • ✳️ – GLOIRE D’ATHON….-19 (60%) – 12/1 > 6/1
  • ✳️ – BEFORE MIDNIGHT….-27 (48%) – 11/2 > 7/1
  • (BRF) – THELASTHIGHKING….-40 (59%) – 7/4 > 11/8

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

ON A QUIET DAY OF BETTING A 30% PROFIT OF A DUTCH RATED HORSES 1, 4, 6 IS ACCEPTABLE.

 RESULT: ONE OF RATED HORSES 1, 4, 6 WERE SELECTED FOR DUTCHING AND, AT THE TIME THE BET WAS STRUCK A PROFIT OF 30% WAS ACHIEVABLE, IN THE EVENT ONE OF THE THREE WON….WHICH IT DID.

OLD SCHOOL PLAY

  • DUTCH: OUR JET, GLIORE D’ATHON, THELASTHIGHKING – WON = 30% PROFIT
  • 20/80: NONE
  • EXOTICS: NONE

🏇 LUDLOW 1-05

CLASS 5

HISTORY – 0 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

  • ✳️ – SCHERBOBALOB….+13 (27%) – 12/1 > 10/1 > 11/1
  • CHURCHMAN….+8 (27%) – 33/1 > 40/1 > 33/1
  • JUBILEE GOLD….+7 (33%) – 13/2 > 12/1
  • BREAKING COVER….-15 (45%) – 11/4 > 5/2 > 11/4F
  • SPIRIT OF REGULUS….-18 (39%) – 16/1 > 20/1 > 16/1
  • ✳️ – ROCK ON TOMMY….-18 (50%) – 16/1 > 33/1
  • 🔥 – MOONSHINE SPIRIT….-18 (48%) –  20/1 > 16/1 > 10/1 > 8/1
  • 🔥 – LITTLE PI….-19 (67%) – 9/1 > 11/2 > 4/1 – WON 10/3
  • PRINCESS T….-25 (31%) – 20/1 > 14/1 > 16/1
  • SEABOROUGH….-40 (25%) – 40/1 > 66/1
  • ☠️ T – ALPHONSE LE GRANDE….-40 (75%) – 7/2 > 5/2 > 10/3 > 7/2
  • CAPTAIN ATTRIDGE….-40 (18%) – 14/1 > 9/1 > 11/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE

SCRIBBLINGS

☠️….AND A PROPER ONE, TOO….BLACKBEARD PERSONIFIED….TONY MARTIN.

IT’S A CLASS 5….SHENANIGANS GUARANTEED SO A FOUR HORSE DUTCH RATED HORSES 4, 7, 8, 11 AND A NEAR 51% PROFIT. 

ANOTHER OF THOSE RACES WHERE YOU PAT YOURSELF ON THE BACK IF IT COMES OFF, OR THRASH YOUR BACK, OPUS DEI STYLE, WITH A BARBED WIRE WHIP, IF IT FAILS….BECAUSE YOU “KNEW IT WOULD”.

RESULT: HERE, THE MARKET WAS VERY MUCH TELLING ME THAT TWO HORSES WERE VERY WELL FANCIED. IT’S A CLASS 5 AND WE HAD AN IRISH HORSE TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT. 

IN MY OPINION I NEEDED TO COVER FOUR IN THE DUTCH AND IF ONE OF THEM WON THE RACE, I HAD A 51% PROFIT TO BANK.

THE FLAME NEXT TO A HORSES NAME INDICATES A HORSE IS VERY WELL SUPPORTED. ONE OF THOSE PROVED SUCCESSFUL, AND I BANKED MY PROFIT.

OLD SCHOOL PLAY

  • DUTCH: BREAKING COVER, MOONSHINE SPIRIT, LITTLE PI, ALPHONSE LE GRANDE – WON = 51% PROFIT
  • 20/80: NONE
  • EXOTICS: NONE

🏇 LUDLOW 2-50

CLASS 2

HISTORY – 10 PREVIOUS RUNNING’S

  • ✳️ – NOT AVAILABLE….+14 (67%) – 5/1 > 13/2 > 6/1
  • ✳️ – DESQUE DE L’ISLE….+9 (58%) – 3/1 > 7/4 > 2/1
  • ✳️ – LIME DROP….+8 (23%) – 11/2 > 13/2 > 5/1
  • ✳️ – YOU SAY NOTHING….-1 (32%) – 13/2 > 12/1
  • STORMIN CROSSGALES….-19 (60%) – 11/2 > 13/2 > 5/1
  • ✳️ – FEEL THE PINCH….-25 (50%) – 6/1 > 7/2 – WON 3/1

ASTECH GOLD STAKE MANAGEMENT = DUTCH TOP THREE PLUS FEEL THE PINCH

SCRIBBLINGS

OVERNIGHT THE ONLY HORSE THEY WANTED WAS VENETIA’S AND, GIVEN THE FORM OF THAT YARD, THAT’S UNDERSTANDABLE.

HOWEVER, THIS MORNING ONLY MY BOTTOM RATED HORSE HAS SEEN ANY KIND OF SUPPORT, THOSE HORSES THAT HAD EASED BECAUSE OF THE MONEY FOR DESQUE DE L’ISLE ARE NOW COMING BACK IN AND IT’S ACTUALLY A MESS OF A MARKET RIGHT NOW. 

STAKE MANAGEMENT LOOKS SENSIBLE AND IT’S A 20% PROFIT.

OLD SCHOOL PLAY

  • DUTCH: AS PER STAKE MANAGEMENT – WON = 20% PROFIT
  • 20/80:
  • EXOTICS

If you would like to join us and try your hand at using my work to make a little extra income, click on the JOIN US button below.

I always like to advise everyone that what I do is not “tipping”. This is not a “tipping” service. I spend up to 15 hours each day looking for my own bets tomorrow. I share with me members what I have found and they decide how they will utilise it.

Make sure you also read all of the ABOUT subjects….if you have any questions at all, please email me ron@postracing.co.uk